CWG Insights: U.S. Dollar Index Rebounds Toward the 100 Level, Gold Pulls Back Near 4,310; Markets Focus on ADP Employment Data

02 Sep, 2026

At the 09:09 Beijing cutoff, spot-gold bid was 4,311.00 and delayed DXY was 99.66. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY were 1.1588, 1.3508, 0.7144, 160.21

Time convention: The report uses Beijing time throughout while source-native timing stays in the fields.
CWG Markets · Daily Insight
XAU/USD
4,311.00
-16.70 (-0.39%)
DXY
99.66
+0.23 (+0.23%)
EUR/USD
1.1588
-0.0006 (-0.05%)
GBP/USD
1.3508
-0.0009 (-0.07%)

Market overview

At the 09:09 Beijing cutoff, spot-gold bid was 4,311.00 and delayed DXY was 99.66. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY were 1.1588, 1.3508, 0.7144, 160.21. Source timestamps differ; this is not a synchronized snapshot.

Key takeaway

July U.S. import and export prices are confirmed: Import prices -0.4% m/m and +5.9% y/y; export prices -1.3% m/m and +8.2% y/y. Gold was near the lower end of its verified day range; subsequent direction in the dollar, gold and major FX pairs still needs live confirmation.

Core market data

Asset Latest Change Interpretation
XAU/USD 4,311.00 -16.70 (-0.39%) spot gold bid; support 4,304.20 / 4,280.00; resistance 4,327.70 / 4,370.00.
[S1] 2026-09-02 09:09 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 21:09 NY Time) · verified
DXY 99.66 +0.23 (+0.23%) delayed U.S. Dollar Index cash reference; support 99.43 / 99.35; resistance 99.72 / 100.00.
[S2] 2026-09-02 06:05 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 18:05 EDT) · verified
EUR/USD 1.1588 -0.0006 (-0.05%) spot FX reference quote; support 1.1587 / 1.1570; resistance 1.1600 / 1.1620.
[S3] 2026-09-02 08:12 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 20:12 EDT) · verified
GBP/USD 1.3508 -0.0009 (-0.07%) spot FX reference quote; support 1.3506 / 1.3485; resistance 1.3523 / 1.3550.
[S4] 2026-09-02 08:57 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 20:57 EDT) · verified
AUD/USD 0.7144 -0.0002 (-0.03%) spot FX reference quote; support 0.7140 / 0.7125; resistance 0.7155 / 0.7180.
[S5] 2026-09-02 08:44 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 20:44 EDT) · verified
USD/JPY 160.21 +0.02 (+0.01%) spot FX reference quote; support 160.14 / 159.80; resistance 160.25 / 160.60.
[S6] 2026-09-02 08:45 Beijing Time (2026-09-01 20:45 EDT) · verified
Sources: [S1] Kitco Gold Price Chart · [S2] MarketWatch DXY · [S3] MarketWatch EUR/USD · [S4] MarketWatch GBP/USD · [S5] MarketWatch AUD/USD · [S6] MarketWatch USD/JPY

Market review

July U.S. import and export prices were Import prices -0.4% m/m and +5.9% y/y; export prices -1.3% m/m and +8.2% y/y. Latest official H.15 closes: 2Y 4.34%, 10Y 4.75% and 30Y 5.25%.

Trade prices confirmed

July U.S. import and export prices were Import prices -0.4% m/m and +5.9% y/y; export prices -1.3% m/m and +8.2% y/y. No unverified forecast is added.

Non-synchronous quotes

DXY is delayed, gold is a spot bid and FX values are separate page references; timestamps must be read independently.

Market dynamics

Gold range

Gold bid is 4,311.00 within the verified 4,304.20-4,462.40 day range.

Treasury curve

Latest official closes are 2Y 4.34%, 10Y 4.75% and 30Y 5.25%.

Next official schedule

The next confirmed U.S. release is scheduled for 09-02 20:15 Beijing Time; no actual value is available yet.

Sources: [S1] Kitco Gold Price Chart · [S2] MarketWatch DXY · [S7] Federal Reserve H.15

Economic calendar - confirmed times only

Beijing time Region Confirmed event Status
09-02 20:15 US U.S. ADP National Employment Report - August 2026 Time verified; not released at cutoff
09-02 22:00 US U.S. manufacturers' shipments, inventories and orders - July 2026 Time verified; not released at cutoff
09-02 22:00 US U.S. metropolitan-area employment and unemployment - July 2026 Time verified; not released at cutoff
Sources: [S11] New York Fed Economic Indicators Calendar · [S8] BLS September 2026 release schedule

Cross-asset verified comparison

Technical levels

Levels use only the latest verified references. Recheck live prices and spreads before acting.

Asset Reference Resistance Support Invalidation
DXY 99.66 99.72 / 100.00 99.43 / 99.35 Below 99.35
EUR/USD 1.1588 1.1600 / 1.1620 1.1587 / 1.1570 Below 1.1570
GBP/USD 1.3508 1.3523 / 1.3550 1.3506 / 1.3485 Below 1.3485
USD/JPY 160.21 160.25 / 160.60 160.14 / 159.80 Below 159.80
AUD/USD 0.7144 0.7155 / 0.7180 0.7140 / 0.7125 Below 0.7125
XAU/USD 4,311.00 4,327.70 / 4,370.00 4,304.20 / 4,280.00 Below 4,280.00

Released data

U.S. JOLTS - July 2026 Job openings 7.271 million; openings rate 4.4%; hires 5.054 million; total separations 5.072 million [S9]
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 54.6%, down from 55.6% in July [S10]
U.S. CPI - July Headline +0.1% m/m, +3.4% y/y; core +0.2% m/m, +2.5% y/y [S12]
U.S. Employment Situation - July Payrolls -23,000; unemployment 4.1%; hourly earnings +3.2% y/y [S13]
U.S. import and export prices - July Import prices -0.4% m/m and +5.9% y/y; export prices -1.3% m/m and +8.2% y/y [S14]

Conditional scenarios

Trigger Confirmation Invalidation Path
DXY above 100.00 Gold below 4,304.20 and EUR/USD below 1.1570 DXY below 99.35 A firmer dollar may pressure gold and non-dollar currencies.
DXY below 99.35 Gold above 4,327.70 and EUR/USD above 1.1600 DXY back above 100.00 A softer dollar may allow gold and non-dollar currencies to recover.

Not a trading instruction. Confirm all triggers with live platform data.

Hot markets: charts and key ranges

Four panels cover XAU/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and position each reference within its verified day range; they do not depict an intraday path.

This material is provided for general market commentary only. It does not constitute investment advice, an offer to trade, or a guarantee of returns. Leveraged products involve a high degree of risk and may result in losses.
 

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