US Dollar Index Holds Above 100, Gold Consolidates; Markets Await U.S. Manufacturing and Employment Data Signals
This edition uses verified data only: latest confirmed market references, official Treasury yields, and confirmed release times.
Market overview
Latest verified references from 31 July 2026: gold 4,084.70, DXY 100.14, EUR/USD 1.1511, GBP/USD 1.3451, AUD/USD 0.7031 and USD/JPY 160.50. These are non-synchronous quotes.
Key takeaway
Confirmed data place DXY above 100 and gold within the verified 4,028.40-4,120.30 range. Unreleased results and unverified forecasts are omitted.
Core market data
| Asset | Latest | Change | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | 4,084.70 | -17.90 (-0.44%) | Gold trades at 4,084.70; if it keeps holding above 4,080.00, a repair window remains open despite rate pressure, while only a return toward 4,102.60 would show stronger buying control.
[S1] 2026-07-31 10:00 Beijing Time · spot gold bid; direct page check without embedded quote timestamp
|
| DXY | 100.14 | +0.27 (+0.27%) | DXY is at 100.14 after easing from the prior-session high; a return above 100.16 could broaden dollar pressure again.
[S2] 2026-07-31 09:08 Beijing Time · delayed U.S. Dollar Index quote; non-synchronous cash-index reference
|
| EUR/USD | 1.1511 | -0.0019 (-0.16%) | EUR/USD is at 1.1511; holding 1.1511 leaves rebound room, while sustained trade near 1.1535 would show broader dollar easing.
[S3] 2026-07-31 09:58 Beijing Time · spot FX pair; Asia-session quote
|
| GBP/USD | 1.3451 | -0.0016 (-0.12%) | GBP/USD is at 1.3451 and still inside a tight rebound lane; a slip back below 1.3447 would cool the overnight repair.
[S4] 2026-07-31 09:58 Beijing Time · spot FX pair; Asia-session quote
|
| AUD/USD | 0.7031 | +0.0002 (+0.03%) | AUD/USD is at 0.7031 and remains more of a USD-following trade; a retest of 0.7033 would make the risk-tone improvement clearer.
[S5] 2026-07-31 08:45 Beijing Time · spot FX pair; Asia-session quote
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| USD/JPY | 160.50 | +1.00 (+0.63%) | USD/JPY is at 160.50 and remains in a key watch zone after pulling back; another move toward 160.69 would keep policy-communication risk relevant.
[S6] 2026-07-31 09:31 Beijing Time · spot FX pair; Asia-session quote after intervention-sensitive volatility
|
Market review
Confirmed releases: U.S. Q2 real GDP grew 1.5% annualized; June core PCE was 0.1% m/m and 3.3% y/y. Verified H.15 references: 2Y 4.22%, 10Y 4.67%, 30Y 5.20%.
1Confirmed growth data
Q2 real GDP grew 1.5% annualized versus 2.1% in Q1. No unverified forecast is included.
2Confirmed inflation data
June core PCE rose 0.1% m/m and 3.3% y/y.
Market dynamics
1DXY reference
The confirmed delayed cash-index reference is 100.14.
2Gold reference
Verified spot bid is 4,084.70 within 4,028.40-4,120.30.
3Treasury curve
Official latest references: 2Y 4.22%, 10Y 4.67%, 30Y 5.20%.
Economic calendar - confirmed times only
| Beijing time | Region | Confirmed event | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug 22:00 | US | ISM manufacturing PMI | Time confirmed; result omitted |
| 03 Aug 22:00 | US | Construction spending | Time confirmed; result omitted |
| 04 Aug 20:30 | US | Trade balance | Time confirmed; result omitted |
| 04 Aug 22:00 | US | JOLTS job openings | Time confirmed; result omitted |
Cross-asset verified comparison
Technical levels
Levels use only the latest verified references. Recheck live prices and spreads before acting.
| Asset | Reference | Resistance | Support | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXY | 100.14 | 100.16 / 100.50 | 100.02 / 99.86 | Below 99.86 |
| EUR/USD | 1.1511 | 1.1535 / 1.1550 | 1.1511 / 1.1500 | Below 1.1500 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3451 | 1.3473 / 1.3500 | 1.3447 / 1.3400 | Below 1.3400 |
| USD/JPY | 160.50 | 160.69 / 161.00 | 159.50 / 159.37 | Below 159.37 |
| AUD/USD | 0.7031 | 0.7033 / 0.7060 | 0.7020 / 0.7000 | Below 0.7000 |
| XAU/USD | 4,084.70 | 4,102.60 / 4,120.30 | 4,080.00 / 4,028.40 | Below 4,028.40 |
Released data
| U.S. Q2 real GDP | 1.5% annualized | [S11] |
| June core PCE | 0.1% m/m; 3.3% y/y | [S12] |
| Treasury yields | 2Y 4.22%; 10Y 4.67%; 30Y 5.20% | [S7] |
Conditional scenarios
| Trigger | Confirmation | Invalidation | Path |
|---|---|---|---|
| DXY above 100.16 | Gold below 4,080; EUR/USD below 1.1500 | DXY below 99.86 | A firmer dollar may pressure gold and non-USD currencies. |
| DXY below 100.02 | Gold above 4,102.60; EUR/USD above 1.1535 | DXY back above 100.16 | A softer dollar may allow gold and non-USD currencies to recover. |
Not a trading instruction. Confirm all triggers with live platform data.
Hot markets: charts and key ranges
Four panels cover XAU/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and position the latest price and prior close within the verified day range; they do not depict an intraday path.
